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UPDATES

Compelling stories, interesting statistics/predictions, and more are discussed on the updates pages. Topics which warrant more discussion are posted throughout the seasons.

Wentz vs. Hurts - Who Was Better in 2020?

2/5/2021

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In the 2020 NFL Draft, the Eagles shocked everyone by selecting Jalen Hurts with their 2nd round pick. A selection that was met with criticism and questions after Carson Wentz seemed to carry an Eagles team with a sub-par receiving corps. Fast forward to the 2020 season, and the decision seems to be not-so-questionable with Carson Wentz drastically underperforming his pervious seasons. Jalen Hurts eventually replaced Carson Wentz and remained the starter for the rest of the season (lets ignore the last game). With Doug  Pederson being fired, its clear that the front office doesn't blame either of the QBs primarily for the disastrous season in which the Eagles finished 4-11-1. The Eagles now head into the off-season and draft with a QB controversy alongside trade-rumors revolving around Carson Wentz. Here we take a deep dive into the season performances from both QBs. By the end, we discuss what the Eagles might do going forward.

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Tale of the Tape - Brady and Mahomes

2/2/2021

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The countdown is on until the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off with the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 55. The Buccaneers are representing the NFC in the Super Bowl after a hard-fought playoff run starting in the Wild-Card Round. The Chiefs are looking to defend their title as best team in the NFL and Super Bowl champs. One of the most intriguing storylines is Patrick Mahomes facing off with Tom Brady. Mahomes has had an historic start to his career, and Tom Brady could take his legacy to another level by winning the Super Bowl during the year after leaving the Patriots. We take a deep dive into Brady's and Mahomes' performances throughout the regular season and playoffs to get a deeper understanding of what this iconic Super Bowl matchup may look like on Sunday.

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Lions or Rams: Who Won the Trade?

2/1/2021

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An unprecedented QB swap happened over this weekend between the Lions and Rams. The Rams have agreed to sending Jared Goff, two future 1st-round picks, and a 3rd-round pick to the Lions in exchange for Matthew Stafford. Many online are declaring that the Rams won this trade, and they are now Super Bowl contenders for next year. Some are also saying that although it does not help them right away, the Lions won because of the multiple picks to help kick off their rebuild project.

Who really won the trade? Here we take a look at the two QB's performance from the 2020 season to conclude the winners and losers of this trade.

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POWER RANKINGS

12/23/2020

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Week 15 Recap: Power Rankings

Quite the shake-up after Week 15 games. Several upsets have the ability to add major changes to the power rankings, with the Jets catching their first win against the Rams, and the Steelers dropping their third straight loss to the Bengals without Joe Burrow. Below, we show the Power Rankings based on the teams performance through all 15 weeks, and also by considering the individual performances against each opponents they face. This results in the True-Value statistic, which we can get a more true understanding of how all 32 teams size-up with one another. The rankings below consider the True-Value of each team's defense and offense, resulting in the Power Rankings.

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Week 15: Raiders vs. Chargers

12/17/2020

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Tonight Week 15 in the NFL Kicks off as the Los Angeles Chargers visit the Las Vegas Raiders. We put our Game-Outcomes model to the test to generate some predictions for this Thursday Night matchup. Which QB out performs the other: Carr or Herbert? Will Josh Jacobs get going on the ground? Can the Raiders keep their playoff hopes alive? And who will get the win? The offense outcomes and final scores are predicted here.

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Week 14 - Sunday Game Predictions

12/13/2020

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The Game-Predictions model had some success last week, specifically on the Spread Bet and guessing team's points within one score (8pts). Here's a quick recap: (right-wrong)
  • Guessed Scores within 1 FG (3 pts): 8-22
  • Guessed Scores within 1 Score (8 pts): 17-13
  • Spread Bet: 9-6
  • Over/Under Bet: 7-8 
Now for this week's score predictions. There are a lot of close games projected and some interesting developments in the playoff picture based on the outcome of this weekends games. Here are all the predictions for Week 14 Sunday Games

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Week 14 - Patriots vs. Rams Predictions

12/10/2020

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​Here we have our projected outcomes for Week 14 Thursday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots (6-6) and the Los Angeles Rams (8-4). We use statistics from all previous games as well as our calculated Performance Value statistic to estimate what the matchup will look like. Here we have projected the Offensive performances of both the Patriots and Rams going against each other's Defense. Finally, at the end we project the final score of the matchup, and the implications for both teams. 

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Monday Night Football Predictions

12/7/2020

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​In Week 13 of the 2020 NFL Season, there are two Monday Night Football games: Buffalo Bills visiting San Francisco 49ers, and the Washington Football Team visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers. Some interesting storylines are on the stage during these games. Will Pittsburgh remain undefeated? Can Washington stay in the race for 1st place in the NFC easy? Can Buffalo hold onto 1st place in the AFC East? Will the 49ers stay in-the-hunt for a playoff spot with a win?

Hopefully our model for game-predictions can help answer these questions before the games even happen. Below we have featured the projected Final Score, Passing statistics, and Rushing statistics for each team in their matchup tonight.

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WEEk 13: Final Score Projections - Sunday

12/6/2020

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Here is the projected final scores for all Sunday games in Week 13. There are some interesting scores in the 1pm slot, and some very competitive games projected for the later games as well. All Sunday scores are below:

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WEEK 13 Rankings

12/5/2020

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Check out our rankings going into Week 13 in the NFL season. All rankings are based on our Performance Value statistic. This statistic shows how valuable a team's performance is compared to an average team facing the same opponents:

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