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Correct Winner
70.4%
Points +/- 8pts
59.9%
Spread
58.0%
O/U
37.0%
Points +/- 3pts
21.0%
Correct Winner
50.4%
Points +/- 8pts
62.5%
Spread
41.7%
O/U
50.0%
Points +/- 3pts
12.5%
Team
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs
Prediction
28
26
Final
31
9
During the 2020-2021 season the predictions for playoff teams were made after each week of season games, begining with Week 2. Below shows the earliest week each eventual playoff team was predicted and how many total weeks they were predicted to make the playoffs by the model.
Team
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
Pittsburgh Steelers
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
Indianapolis Colts
lightgreen Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
Seattle Seahawks
Washington FT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Rams
Chicago Bears
First Week Predicted
Week 2
Week 2
Week 2
Week 4
Week 2
None
Week 2
Week 2
Week 2
Week 3
Week 2
Week 3
Week 2
Week 2
Total Weeks Predicted
100%
64.3%
100%
85.7%
100%
0%
100%
100%
85.7%
64.3%
64.3%
92.7%
100%
7.1%
Some great results from this year are shown with the '100%' and 'Week 2' markers. For instance, our model successfully predicted 10/14 playoff teams after the first predictions were placed. Similarly, 13/14 were predicted at least onece by the third prediction was placed (Week 4). Another positive result was the great success in sustaining the prediction over the season. 9/14 teams were consistently projected to make the playoffs for more than 85% of the predictions.
The predictions from this model that did not work were the Chicago Bears and the Cleveland Browns. The Chicago Bears miss is more understandable and is somewhat of an outlier, since they were not likely to make the playoffs until a stretch towards the end of the season along with teams ahead of them losing. The Browns prediction is a miss, since this team is a team with a top offense and defense.
Other teams which were also predicted consistently were the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots in the AFC, and in the NFC the Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Arizona Cardinals. In addition, the Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings popped up once from the predictor after good wins and bad losses from other top teams.
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